Sunday, September 21, 2008

Fibonnaci and Gann Combination

You may strike gold once or twice through pure blind luck, or even by mindlesslyfollowing the crowd. But without a reliable system of calculating potential price reversal points, you're exposing yourself to a much larger amount of trading risk than necessary. 

When I first started trading 12 years ago, I worked for one of the largest grain trading companies in the world. I was directly responsible for placing their futures orders, which meant I had to devote myself to an intensive technical analysis of market trends.

In other words, I needed a highly accurate way of knowing when and how markets will react.

The more I studied, the more I became interested in the techniques used to "trade price and time". You see, most traders are only aware of calculating potential reversal points using price, but few trade when price and time meet.

Two of the best techniques for trading price and time are Fibonacci and the Gann "Square of Nine" .

I was intrigued by these techniques mainly because they were:-

  1. Easy to understand and apply - Based on sound mathematical formulas, they can be easily applied and do not require any knowledge of how indicators work. Neither do you need to apply fundamental market data to a market. 
     

  2. Versatile. Can be used in conjunction with any trading technique - Usage of these technical analysis methods do not limit the trader. In fact, you may use price & time trading with other techniques you're familiar with, or by itself. The choice is yours. 
     

  3. Suitable for stocks and commodities trading - Whether you trade stocks or commodities, you'll find price and time trading methods equally relevant to you.




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Technical Analysis Basic Principles

Technical Analysis is the study of prices and volume, for forecasting of future stock price or financial price movements.

What is Technical Analysis?

Technical Analysis is the study of prices and volume, for forecasting of future stock price or financial price movements. Technical analysis does not result in absolute predictions about the future. Instead, technical analysis can help investors anticipate what is "likely" to happen to prices over time. 

Technical analysis is not an exact science. It's an art and takes considerable experience. Not all studies work the same for every instrument traded. One study may give excellent buy and sell signals while another may not work for you at all.

Stock Market Technical Analysis Basic Principles

Technical Analysis is based on these three basic principles:

Price Discounts Everything 
Prices move in trends 
History repeats itself

#1- Price Discounts Everything

Technical analysts believe that the current price fully reflects all information. Because all information is already reflected in the price, it represents the fair value, and should form the basis for analysis. After all, the market price reflects the sum knowledge of all participants, including traders, and …

Stock Market Technical analysis utilizes the information captured by the price to interpret what the market is saying with the purpose of forming a view on the future.

#2- Prices Move in Trends

Technical analysts or chartists believe that profits can be made by following the trends. In other words if the price has risen, they expect it to continue rising; if the price has fallen, they expect it to continue falling. However, most technicians also acknowledge that there are periods when prices do not trend.

#3- History Repeats Itself

Technical analysts believe that investors en masse repeat their behavior and they assume that there is useful information hidden within price histories; that it is a way of analyzing the past actions of people in a particular market as reflected by their actual transactions.

By Mostafa Soleimanzadeh. Investing in the Stock Market Tips, Learn Stock Market Technical Analysis Basics in his website.


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Sunday, September 14, 2008

How To Spot Four Reliable Candlestick Reversal Patterns by Woods Richard

One of the toughest decisions to make while trading is knowing when to sell. Gains can quickly turn into losses because many beginning traders use emotion rather than a system that is developed over time. One of the most reliable ways to protect gains is by learningcandlestick reversal patterns. Japanese candlestick charts have been used for hundreds of years to predict commodities markets and in recent history, equities, futures and Forex markets.

Outlined below is a list of some of the most reliable candlestick reversal patterns if a trader knows how to recognize them.

The Abandoned Baby

This reversal pattern appears after a strong upward move followed on the second day of little if any movement, either up or down, as bears and bulls struggle for control forming a doji. The third day confirms a sell off as sellers hit the exits forming a long bearish candle. The longer the down candle on the third day, the stronger the confirmation that the uptrend is over.

The Bearish Evening Shooting Star

This formation begins with a move up as buyers jump on with the second day continuing the pattern at the opening bell. However, as the second day progresses, sellers take over pushing the days candle back down to close near where it opened in the morning session. The second day candle is a good indication that the third day will see selling on the open the third day and is confirmed by a closing red candle.

Hanging Man

One of the best indicators to determine the exhaustion of a current upward movement is the hanging man suggesting a candlestick reversal pattern. The day after a move up, the market opens with a strong sell off forming a long shadow with buyers coming in to push the candle above where it opened the session. The hanging man formation is an indication that sellers are gaining in strength and buyers are losing control of the upward move.

Gravestone Doji

The Gravestone Doji is a possible candlestick reversal pattern that shows that there may be weakness in the current uptrend, signaling traders that a reversal may be coming. Buyers continue to push the market higher on day two but sellers have taken over by the time the market closes. A closing red candle on the third day confirms the signal that the current uptrend is broken.

Japanese candlestick charts form many different patterns and learning to read and understand what these formations possibly indicate can mean the difference between winning and losing while trading. Learning to recognize candlestick reversal patterns can help beginning traders learn when to sell at the best possible time, taking indecision out of the equation.


About the Author

Learn more about Japanese candlestick charts and candlestick reversal patterns.

Learn about the penny stock market.



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Tuesday, September 2, 2008

Elliott Wave Forecast for 9.02.08


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Basics of Technical Analysis


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Technical Analysis Stock Picks, Learn to Read Stock Charts!


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